Red River Rematch

I read a blog from a former SN poster today which makes a lot of sense. Here is the link for you to read your self www.brokenfacemask.com. He talks about the possibility of a Texas-OU rematch for the national title. I kind of figured it could happen, but after reading his post and crunching some numbers it is really not that far fetched. Two things must happen in order for it to work. OU has to beat Missouri and Florida beat Alabama. I will give you the numbers and some notes of how things will shake out. First of all here are my projected computer rankings for Texas and Florida as long as OU and Florida wins.



Florida Rank

Massey 4
Sagarin 4
Billingsly 2
Hester 5
Wolfe 5
Colley 3

Total Average 4
BCS Points .88

Texas Rank
Massey 3
Sagarin 2
Billingsly 3
Hester 3
Wolfe 2
Colley 2

Total Average 2.5
BCS Points .94

These projections are based on where they are currently. Also taken into consideration is where OU could move up and could Alabama fall.

If this was the case Florida would need to make up 0.06 from the 2 human polls to offset this.

In the Harris Poll Florida has a 44 point lead on Texas. Now keep in mind Florida is #2 in the Harris Poll so they can not move very far. In addition OU could jump them and Alabama would surely fall behind Texas as well. With that in mind Texas will gain votes as well. For arguments sake lets say the separation is now 75 votes between Texas and Florida. If that is the case then Florida needs to be ahead of Texas in the Coaches poll by 52 votes.

Here is the math.

75 votes / 2850(total possible points in Harris)= 0.0263
0.06(Computers) - 0.0263= 0.0337
0.0337x 1525(total possible points in Coaches)= 51.39

Right now Texas is 11 votes ahead of Florida in the Coaches Poll. Again Florida can only move up so much as OU could and should move up to number 1, while Texas will move up as well because Alabama will surely fall to at least #4. The key will be what is the difference between Texas and Florida. I realize 75 votes in the Harris Poll and Coaches Poll do not sound like much, really look at the two polls and you will see that there is not much movement available. Florida, OU, and Texas will all move up and gain votes, the key is how many more do each of the teams gain. It will be in the voters hands because there will be quite a difference Florida will need to make up in order to offset the computers.

Weekly Predictions

I have had this weekend marked on the calendar for quite some time. Anybody that is a fan of any sport, looks forward to the annual game against a rival. There is OSU-UM, USC-UCLA, UF-UGA, Duke-UNC, the list goes on and on. But the biggest of all is Oklahoma and Texas. This annual game is always the 2nd Saturday in October and always really close to my birthday. This game always has at least BCS implications if not National Title implications. But even if neither a BCS game or title game happens, a season by either of these two teams can be won or lost in this game. I read another blog about the game the other day about how the writer stated before he dies he is going to a OU-UT game. I am right there with him as it would be great to be part of the atmosphere and everything that goes into this rivalry. There is nothing like seeing the divided stands at the 50 yard line, on one side they are wearing crimsom and the other side burnt orange. Okay I have rambled enough about the OU-UT game, because this may be the main event but there is some other gotta see games this weekend. PSU-Wisconsin, UF-LSU, but if you like offense the game to watch maybe the Missouri-Oklahoma State game. I would not be surprised to see a total of 100 points in that game. Anyway get your drinks, chips and food ready for the best day in college football so far this year. Here are my picks this week, I did pretty good this week even getting pretty close on some of the scores. I was off on my upset alert, so I will try to show love to those Nittany Lions this week!!

Picks
Tennessee@ #10 Georgia
Georgia looks to rebound after the disappointing loss to Alabama a couple of weeks ago. Georgia gives Tennessee a constant diet of Moreno and wins 28-17.

New Mexico @ #9 BYU
BYU dominates this game from the opening minutes. BYU will win by at least 4 TDs. I am thinking 48-10.

Arizona St @ #8 USC
The media has talked all week if Sanchez will play. Carpenter is out for ASU. I think Sanchez plays but he will only be needed for the first half as USC wins 42-6.

Nebraska @ #7 Texas Tech
Gotta feel bad for those Husker fans, first they lose to Virginia Tech, then get pummeled by Missouri and now have to face Harrell And Texas Tech. Don't worry Husker fans Bo will get that program back on track, it just won't be today or this year. Texas Tech wins 48-24.

#6 Penn State @ Wisconsin
You know when you pick upsets you look at games like this. Wisconsin has dominated PSU when they play at Camp Randall and they are due for a win after the two close calls the past weeks. I can't do it this week PSU wins 28-20.

#4LSU @ #11 Florida
You want to see some smash mouth football, this is the game for ya. LSU made a mistake and started to talk some trash. I think this wakes up the Florida offense and Florida wins 28-17.

#17 Oklahoma State @ #3 Missouri
This is my upset of the week. Difficult to pick this being they are playing at Missouri, but I think OSU outscores Missouri 55-48 in a shootout. It is going to come down to who can get a stop or who has the ball last.

#5 Texas @ #1 Oklahoma
Oklahoma has won the last 3 matchups when the two teams are both ranked in the top 5. Oklahoma continues the trend and wins 42-28. Muschamp will have the longhorns ready but OU just has too many options and better defense. It will be interesting to see how each team reacts if the game stays close being they have dominated there earlier games this year.

Enjoy the great day of games. By the way you may want to check the batteries in your remote, because if you are like me you will be giving that remote a workout by the end of the day. Enjoy!!