Friday, November 14, 2008

Big 12 Tie Breaker

There has been a lot of comments and articles about the Big 12 south with the possibility of OU, Texas and Texas Tech finishing tied. I have talked about this scenario since OU lost to Texas on October 11. There also has been a lot of talk of where they are ranked and why. Here is my 2 cents worth and another scenario that could come into play if everything shakes out.


As a OU fan I agree Texas should be ahead of OU right now. Couple things can be said about why they are ranked the way they are. 1. The same week OU lost, #3 LSU and #2 Missouri lost as well. Now when Texas lost no other top 10 lost. So not only losing early helps but if others lose around you at the time you do not fall as far. 2. Keep in mind OU was 63 points ahead of Texas in the coaches poll and 44 ahead in the Harris poll in the polls that followed the Texas loss. The newest poll one week after the aforementioned weeks poll OU is only ahead of Texas by 14 points in the coaches poll and now 44 behind Texas in the Harris poll. The only game in between the 2 polls is OU beating Texas A&M and Texas beating Baylor. Looks like to me more voters realized the head to head match up, not because they both beat cupcakes. If Texas beats Kansas then they will be in front of the Sooners. But if OU beats Tech and Okie State they may move back in front of the Longhorns being they are so closely matched in the polls.

Still a lot of football left. Texas has to beat Kansas and Texas A&M, OU has to beat Texas Tech and Okie State, and Texas Tech will have to beat Baylor for this all to matter anyways. I have been talking about this scenario ever since Texas beat OU, and it seems to be coming to fruition, but there is those 5 games that still seem to matter.

Here is one more scenario I have been thinking about as well. Say Texas makes the Big 12 Championship because of winning the tie breaker because the three teams tie. Now Alabama will be #1, Texas or Florida will be #2 and #3 or OU could be at #3 but could be #4. We know the winner of the SEC championship will be going to the National Championship. But what if Texas loses in the Big 12 championship, OU moves in. Now the same can be said if OU went to the Big 12 championship and lost Texas would move in. I am sure I am going to hear the argument about winning your conference, but who can you put in the game. It could be said as well about USC moving in to the game, but if Oregon Sate wins out USC won't win their conference either. I don't see anybody else moving into the game in this scenario. So all this arguing about where they are ranked and the Big 12 championship may not matter if they don't win their games. The bottom line is they all need to win and then let the rankings work themselves out, and if needed we can argue about it then.

1 comment:

David Funk said...

Great call. This could very well happen, but the fact remains that those teams still have to do their part for any of it to matter as you said.

What a last a couple of weeks it's shaping up to be for that conference though!

Nice work!